Macro

In the fourth quarter of 2018, I penned a quick note highlighting a set of conditions which had in the past been fairly consistent in providing asymmetric short opportunities in the energy complex. It turns out that note was prescient as we saw a number… Read More

Shalin here. I am very pleased to present a piece by Bodhi Tree’s Quantitative Analyst, Blake Meyerson, based on his advanced coursework and lessons learned at Bodhi Tree during a most turbulent market!. As always, your feedback is much appreciated.  I have spent the past… Read More

This is mind-boggling. If it holds, today would be the 13th down day in a row for the S&P/LSTA US Leveraged Loan Index. Simply put, these are not the types of moves one would want to see at the beginning of a sustainable rally. Figure:… Read More

CNBC reports that mortgage refi’s hit an 18-year low this month. I think it is safe to say that the end of the 35-year refinancing bubble is officially over, save for even more extreme Central Bank action during the next downturn. The ultimate implications of this event… Read More

Despite a respite in global equity prices month to date, last week saw some major breakdowns in the uber-important credit markets which likely confirms more downside to come in the current correction. Globally, it was a bloodbath in high yield with risk premiums achieving year… Read More